Forex Forecast Polls


The Forex Forecast is a currency sentiment tool that highlights our selected experts' near and medium term mood and calculates trends according to Friday's 15:00 GMT price. The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.



Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: Under pressure as Fed tone, trade progress fuel US Dollar rebound

EUR/USD: Under pressure as Fed tone, trade progress fuel US Dollar rebound Premium

The Euro (EUR) managed to regain some composure toward the end of the week, sparking a daily reversal in EUR/USD after easing below the 1.1200 level, or multi-week troughs, early on Friday. The recovery, however, did not change the pair’s weekly performance, which reached the third drop in a row.

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling fails to benefit from a cautious BoE, US-UK trade deal

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling fails to benefit from a cautious BoE, US-UK trade deal Premium

The Pound Sterling failed another attempt above 1.3400 versus the US Dollar. The Fed and the BoE stuck to their cautious rhetoric amid US tariff uncertainties. Technicals show that bullish potential remains intact for the pair whilst above 1.3165.

Bitcoin: BTC bulls aim for $105,000 after nearly 10% weekly gains

Bitcoin: BTC bulls aim for $105,000 after nearly 10% weekly gains

Bitcoin price stabilizes around $103,000 on Friday after rallying nearly 10% this week. Risk-on sentiment prevails as Trump announced a trade deal with the UK and ahead of the meeting with China this weekend.

Week ahead – All eyes on US CPI and trade talks amid no end to tariff uncertainty

Week ahead – All eyes on US CPI and trade talks amid no end to tariff uncertainty

US CPI report takes centre stage to gauge tariff impact. Progress in trade negotiations will also be watched, especially with China. US Retail Sales, UK and Japanese GDP on the agenda too.

AUD/USD: Interim top confirmed, 0.7000 at risk

AUD/USD: Interim top confirmed, 0.7000 at risk Premium

The AUD/USD pair kept falling in the last few days, reaching a fresh multi-week low of 0.7263 on Friday, to close the trading week a handful of pips above it.

Gold: Buyers hesitate despite escalating geopolitical tensions

Gold: Buyers hesitate despite escalating geopolitical tensions Premium

Gold (XAU/USD) started the week on a bullish note and registered impressive gains on Monday and Tuesday before reversing its direction and settling above $3,300 in the second half of the week.


WHAT IS THE FOREX FORECAST POLL?

The Forex Forecast Poll is a sentiment tool that highlights near- and medium-term price expectations from leading market experts.

  • Unique sentiment indicator with a 5-year history
  • For 10 currency pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, GBPJPY, EURJPY, EURGBP)
  • Survey conducted every Friday and published at 15:00 GMT
  • Serves all time horizons: 1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter - includes an average price for each time horizon
  • Followed by traders, market commentators as well as academics

The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.

 

HOW TO READ THE GRAPHS?

Besides the table with all participants’ individual prediction, a graphic representation aggregates and visualizes the data: the Bullish/Bearish/Sideways line shows the percentage of our contributors on each of these outlook biases.

This graph is available for each time horizon (1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter). We also indicate the average price forecast as well as the average bias.

WHY SHOULD I USE IT?

Our unique Forex Forecast poll offers you:

  • A sentiment indicator which delivers actionable price levels, not merely “mood” or “positioning” indications. Traders can check if there is unanimity among the surveyed experts - if there is excessive speculator sentiment driving a market - or if there are divergences among them. When sentiment is not at extremes, traders get actionable price targets to trade upon. When there is deviation between actual market rate and value reflected in forecasted rate, there is usually an opportunity to enter the market.
  • No lag in the data: Contrary to other indicators, there is no delay.
  • Significant sentiment data, based on a representative sample of 25 to 50 leading trading advisors for 5 years. Do not follow a single guru but rather a balanced group of well chosen experts. The Forex Forecast Poll offers a condensed version of several expert's opinions. Only outlooks are considered that have been committed to publication and therefore have an influence on the market.
  • A tool for Contrarian thinking: People instinctively follow the impulses of the crowd. Sentiment indicators, in turn, lead to “contrarian” thinking. You can read sentiment extremes and avoid being one of the herd. Contrast own opinions and price outlook with a group of leading trading advisors and money managers.
  • A tool to build strategies upon prediction data: Find patterns data for instance if a trend is gaining or losing energy.
EUR/USD Forecast GBP/USD Forecast USD/JPY Forecast AUD/USD Forecast
USD/CAD Forecast GBP/JPY Forecast NZD/USD Forecast EUR/JPY Forecast