US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar soars to one-month high on US-China deal to temporarily lower tariffs

The US Dollar rolls through markets,  up over 1% against most major peers, after news of a deal between China and the US. The euphoria comes after both countries agree to slash tariffs for 90 days following two days of talks in Switzerland. The US Dollar Index pops to 101.50, benefiting from the relief in US-China tensions. 

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Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

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EUR/USD maintains position above 1.1100 ahead of US inflation data

EUR/USD maintains position above 1.1100 ahead of US inflation data

EUR/USD opened with a bullish gap on Tuesday during the Asian session, trading near the 1.1110 level after suffering losses of over 2.5% in the previous session. The pair faced challenges as the US Dollar strengthened on the back of progress in the United States-China trade negotiations.

GBP/USD holds near 1.3200 after UK employment data

GBP/USD holds near 1.3200 after UK employment data

After posting large losses on Monday, GBP/USD trades marginally higher at around 1.3200 in the European session on Tuesday. The data from the UK showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate edged higher to 4.5% in the three months to April, as expected.

USD/JPY pulls back in tandem with US Dollar, surrenders 148.00

USD/JPY pulls back in tandem with US Dollar, surrenders 148.00

USD/JPY pulls back after registering more than 2% gains in the previous session. surrendering 148.00 in the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The pair declines as the Japanese Yen gains ground on uncertainty over a US-Japan trade deal and comments from Japanese officials on policy and exchange rate outlooks. US CPI eyed. 

Gold: Will US CPI data rescue buyers?

Gold: Will US CPI data rescue buyers?

Gold price has managed to defend the $3,200 mark again, consolidating Monday’s 3% slump early Tuesday. Gold sellers take a breather as traders await the high-impact US Consumer Price Index data, which is expected to drive the next trading impetus.

WTI moves below $61.50, downside seems limited due to easing of US-China trade tensions

WTI moves below $61.50, downside seems limited due to easing of US-China trade tensions

West Texas Intermediate Oil price paused its three-day winning streak, trading around $61.40 per barrel during Asian hours on Tuesday. Despite this pullback, Oil prices remain underpinned by optimism following progress in the United States-China trade negotiations.

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US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index (DXY, USDX) measures the value of the United States Dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. It is a weighted geometric mean of the dollar’s value relative to the following select currencies: Euro (57.6% weight), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%).
The index started in 1973, following the dissolution of the Bretton Woods system, with a base value of 100.00. Values are relative to this base – for instance, a current reading of 99.800 would indicate that the dollar has depreciated by 0.2% since the start of the index.

While the Dollar Index is a geometrically weighted index rather than trade-weighted, it is concentrated in European currencies and excludes two of the US’ top trading partners, Mexico and China. As a result, it is primarily used as a speculative tool rather than by corporates or asset managers like mutual funds, insurance companies or endowments. Additionally, the geometric mean methodology artificially undervalues the USD over time.

INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS AND ECONOMIC DATA FOR THE US DOLLAR INDEX

The Federal Reserve (Fed)

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States (US) and it has two main targets: to maintain the unemployment rate at its lowest possible levels and to keep inflation around 2%. The Federal Reserve System's structure is composed of the presidentially appointed Board of Governors and the partially appointed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC organizes eight scheduled meetings in a year to review economic and financial conditions. It also determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. The FOMC Minutes, which are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve weeks after the latest meeting, are a guide to the future US interest-rate policy.

The US Government

The US Government and its Treasury Department impact the US Dollar Index. Events such as administration statements, budgets, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the DXY.

US Gross Domestic Product

US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) refers to the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States. It serves as a gross measure of market activity, indicating the pace at which the nation's economy is growing or contracting. Generally, a high reading or better-than-expected number is considered positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is seen as negative.


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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.